Again, check my math...but here is what I have for projections in C-2 following Thursday night's results.
1- Battle Creek (9-0, 46.66)
16- Elmwood-Murdock (6-3, 41)
9- West Holt (7-2, 42.55)
8- Doniphan-Trumbull (7-2, 42.88)
5- Oakland Craig (8-1, 43.77)
12- Omaha Brownell-Talbot (6-3, 42)
13- Bridgeport (6-3, 41.44)
4- Gibbon (9-0, 43.88)
3- Aquinas Catholic (8-1, 44.33)
14- Archbishop Bergan (6-3, 41.33)
11- NP St Pats (8-1, 42.11)
6- Sutton (8-1, 43.11)
7- Yutan (8-1, 43.11)
10- Crofton (7-2, 42.22)
15- Tri County (6-3, 41.22)
2- Hastings St Cecilia (9-0, 44.66)
First 4 out:
Arcadia-Loup City (7-2, 41.22)
Stanton (7-2, 41.22) Arcadia-Loup City owns the tie breaker over Stanton based on opponents win %
Malcolm (5-4, 39.44)
Hartington CC (5-4, 39.44) Malcolm owns tie breaker over HCC based on wins over level 2 teams
There are several games that could rock the boat on Friday. Some are very unlikely, some not so unlikely.
Unlikely results
Archbishop Bergan over Aquinas (Would raise Bergan to level 1 team and add points to Oakland Craig, Elmwood Murdock, Brownell-Talbot, and Yutan). It would also raise Bergan's seed and drop Aquinas. It would be a HUGE change to what I have projected above.
Wood River over Arcadia-Loup City (this would lower ALC to a level 2 team and take points from West Holt and Gibbon). This would drop both West Holt and Gibbon to 5th seed and West Holt to the
LHNE over Battle Creek (this would raise LHNE to a level 2 team and give points to Aquinas, Crofton, Hartington CC, and West Holt). It would also raise LHNE's points and drop Battle Creek's points. Battle Creek would still remain the 1 seed and LHNE would still be left out.
Bayard over NP St Pats (this would raise Bayard to a level 3 team and give points to Gibbon and Bridgeport). It would also lower NP St Pats to the 16th seed and they would only get in because they would be the champions of district 8.
Kimball over Bridgeport (this would knock Bridgeport out and bring Arcadia-Loup City in)
Twin River over Gibbon (this would give DT, Stanton, West Holt, and Arcadia-Loup City additional points). It would also lower Gibbon's seed. It would bring Stanton and Arcadia-Loup City into the bracket and bump Bridgeport and Bergan out.
Sandy Creek over St Cecilia- This would lower HSC's seed, but would not change anybody else's points.
Homer over Ponca- (this would lower Ponca to a level 4 team and take points from Crofton, Battle Creek, Oakland-Craig, and Stanton).
Thayer Central over Malcolm- (this would lower Malcolm to a level 3 team and take points from Elmwood Murdock, Brownell-Talbot, and Tri County)
Wisner-Pilger over Oakland-Craig- This would lower OC's seed, but would not change any other team's points
Superior over Sutton- This would lower Sutton's seed, but would not change any other team's points
Possible, but I'd be really surprised
Southern Valley over Doniphan (The only reason I list this away from the above games is because So Valley played Sutton very tough. This result would lower DT to a level 2 team and take points away from St Pats, St Cecilia, and Sutton. The top 5 seeds in my projection would stay the same. Yutan would be 6, Sutton 7, West Holt 8, Crofton 9, OBT 10, St Pats 11, Bridgeport 12, DT 13, Bergan 14, Tri County 15, Elmwood Murdock 16)
Not necessarily Unlikely
Cenennial over Tri County (this would make Centennial the district champ and put them in as the 16 seed. It would bump Elmwood Murdock up to the 15 and remove Tri County from the bracket).
Omaha Brownell-Talbot over Yutan- (this would raise OBT to a level 1 team and give points to Malcolm, Elmwood Murdock, Aquinas, and Bergan). It would also raise OBT's seed and lower Yutan's. The top 5 seeds in my projection would not change. OBT-6, Sutton-7, DT-8, West Holt-9, Crofton-10, St Pats-11, Yutan-12, Bergan-13, Bridgeport-14, Elmwood-Murdock-15, Tri County-16
Mitchell over Chase County- (this would lower Chase County to a level 2 team and take points from Bridgeport, knocking them out. It would bump Bergan to 13 and Arcadia Loup City to 14)
1- Battle Creek (9-0, 46.66)
16- Elmwood-Murdock (6-3, 41)
9- West Holt (7-2, 42.55)
8- Doniphan-Trumbull (7-2, 42.88)
5- Oakland Craig (8-1, 43.77)
12- Omaha Brownell-Talbot (6-3, 42)
13- Bridgeport (6-3, 41.44)
4- Gibbon (9-0, 43.88)
3- Aquinas Catholic (8-1, 44.33)
14- Archbishop Bergan (6-3, 41.33)
11- NP St Pats (8-1, 42.11)
6- Sutton (8-1, 43.11)
7- Yutan (8-1, 43.11)
10- Crofton (7-2, 42.22)
15- Tri County (6-3, 41.22)
2- Hastings St Cecilia (9-0, 44.66)
First 4 out:
Arcadia-Loup City (7-2, 41.22)
Stanton (7-2, 41.22) Arcadia-Loup City owns the tie breaker over Stanton based on opponents win %
Malcolm (5-4, 39.44)
Hartington CC (5-4, 39.44) Malcolm owns tie breaker over HCC based on wins over level 2 teams
There are several games that could rock the boat on Friday. Some are very unlikely, some not so unlikely.
Unlikely results
Archbishop Bergan over Aquinas (Would raise Bergan to level 1 team and add points to Oakland Craig, Elmwood Murdock, Brownell-Talbot, and Yutan). It would also raise Bergan's seed and drop Aquinas. It would be a HUGE change to what I have projected above.
Wood River over Arcadia-Loup City (this would lower ALC to a level 2 team and take points from West Holt and Gibbon). This would drop both West Holt and Gibbon to 5th seed and West Holt to the
LHNE over Battle Creek (this would raise LHNE to a level 2 team and give points to Aquinas, Crofton, Hartington CC, and West Holt). It would also raise LHNE's points and drop Battle Creek's points. Battle Creek would still remain the 1 seed and LHNE would still be left out.
Bayard over NP St Pats (this would raise Bayard to a level 3 team and give points to Gibbon and Bridgeport). It would also lower NP St Pats to the 16th seed and they would only get in because they would be the champions of district 8.
Kimball over Bridgeport (this would knock Bridgeport out and bring Arcadia-Loup City in)
Twin River over Gibbon (this would give DT, Stanton, West Holt, and Arcadia-Loup City additional points). It would also lower Gibbon's seed. It would bring Stanton and Arcadia-Loup City into the bracket and bump Bridgeport and Bergan out.
Sandy Creek over St Cecilia- This would lower HSC's seed, but would not change anybody else's points.
Homer over Ponca- (this would lower Ponca to a level 4 team and take points from Crofton, Battle Creek, Oakland-Craig, and Stanton).
Thayer Central over Malcolm- (this would lower Malcolm to a level 3 team and take points from Elmwood Murdock, Brownell-Talbot, and Tri County)
Wisner-Pilger over Oakland-Craig- This would lower OC's seed, but would not change any other team's points
Superior over Sutton- This would lower Sutton's seed, but would not change any other team's points
Possible, but I'd be really surprised
Southern Valley over Doniphan (The only reason I list this away from the above games is because So Valley played Sutton very tough. This result would lower DT to a level 2 team and take points away from St Pats, St Cecilia, and Sutton. The top 5 seeds in my projection would stay the same. Yutan would be 6, Sutton 7, West Holt 8, Crofton 9, OBT 10, St Pats 11, Bridgeport 12, DT 13, Bergan 14, Tri County 15, Elmwood Murdock 16)
Not necessarily Unlikely
Cenennial over Tri County (this would make Centennial the district champ and put them in as the 16 seed. It would bump Elmwood Murdock up to the 15 and remove Tri County from the bracket).
Omaha Brownell-Talbot over Yutan- (this would raise OBT to a level 1 team and give points to Malcolm, Elmwood Murdock, Aquinas, and Bergan). It would also raise OBT's seed and lower Yutan's. The top 5 seeds in my projection would not change. OBT-6, Sutton-7, DT-8, West Holt-9, Crofton-10, St Pats-11, Yutan-12, Bergan-13, Bridgeport-14, Elmwood-Murdock-15, Tri County-16
Mitchell over Chase County- (this would lower Chase County to a level 2 team and take points from Bridgeport, knocking them out. It would bump Bergan to 13 and Arcadia Loup City to 14)
