Class C2 Playoff Projection (UPDATED 10/25/24 in AM)

[ACICOD]

SEED
1	Norfolk Catholic	414
16	Lincoln Lutheran	354
8	Boone Central	378
9	Mitchell	376
4	Valentine	387
13	Kearney Catholic	370
5	Malcolm	383
12	Doniphan-Trumbull	371
2	Bishop Neumann	394
15	Grand Island CC	365
7	Wood River	381
10	Raymond Central	374
3	Battle Creek	389
14	Aquinas Catholic	368
6	Cedar Catholic	382
11	Oakland-Craig	372

***WITH A WIN TONIGHT, GICC is a district champion. Ord, Boone Central, and GICC would be tied for the district title, but overall winning percentage is tiebreaker #1.

***WITH A GICC LOSS, Ord becomes the district champion, and pushes a team out of the top 16 I have listed here.


LAST TWO IN...........

Grand Island CC	365
Lincoln Lutheran	354

FIRST FIVE OUT............

Ord	353
Yutan	352
Archbishop Bergan	346
West Point-Beemer	346
Amherst	346

Results to get me here:

Malcolm over Lincoln Lutheran

Bishop Neumann over Raymond Central

Conestoga over Palmyra

Aquinas Catholic over Tekamah-Herman

Yutan over North Bend Central

Archbishop Bergan over Arlington

Norfolk Catholic over Cedar Catholic

Battle Creek over Ponca

Oakland-Craig over West Point-Beemer

GICC over St. Paul

Cross County over Centura

Wood River over Doniphan-Trumbull

Fillmore Central over Hastings St. Cecilia

Valentine over Kearney Catholic

Mitchell over Hershey

Amherst over Gordon-Rushville

Lincoln Christian over Platteview

Auburn over Nebraska City

Falls City over Fairbury

Roncalli over Louisville

Scotus over Wayne

Fort Calhoun over DC West

Scotus over Wayne

LVSS over Mt. Michael

Lakeview over O'Neill

Gothenburg over Broken Bow

Central City over Aurora

Falls City over Fairbury

Syracuse over Wilber-Clatonia

Chadron over Sidney

Cozad over Minden

Newcastle, WY over Wheatland

Chadron over Sidney

Ogallala over Alliance

Chase County over Holdrege

Gering over Hastings

 

[SouthCentralNeb_73]

I agree with your Seeds 1-5, really consistent with what I have.

Where I think some things need to be looked at are:

Mitchell - Wheatland, WY must win there next 2 games in order to jump tiers and give Mitchell the additional 6 points. I don't think that happens. That being said, I have them at 369 and an 11 Seed.

Valentine - 6 Seed w/ win vs Kearney Catholic. Loss moves them to 12.

Kearney Catholic - 13 w/loss vs Valentine. Win moves them to 7.

Doniphan-Trumbull / Wood River - Essentially in the same spot, teetering the line between "win and in" or not.

Few games to consider the next two weeks that can shift a ton of things. Bold is my prediction for winner, purely off film study, not RPI.

Week 8
Hartington CC vs Oakland Craig
Aquinas vs Yutan ("Win and In" for Yutan, which would be the kicker for teams like Wood River / DT that would sneak in at a 15/16)
GICC vs Boone
Wheatland, WY (as mentioned above)

Week 9
DT vs Wood River - With a Yutan win, this becomes a "Win and In" as well.
Valentine vs Kearney Catholic
Norfolk Catholic vs Hartington CC
Wheatland, WY (as mentioned above)

 

[stangsker]

Looks like Wheatland got the job done yesterday. Their last game of the year is against a .500 team so they could get it done.

 

[spike17]

Based off few observations looks like these games could change seeding some

Wood River vs DT - Toss up Wood River wins
Bergan vs Arlington - Toss up -Arlington edge
WPB vs O-C Toss up - OC tough schedule
HCC vs NC - NC but close
Valentine vs KC - KC wins

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

Based off few observations looks like these games could change seeding some

Wood River vs DT - Toss up Wood River wins
Bergan vs Arlington - Toss up -Arlington edge
WPB vs O-C Toss up - OC tough schedule
HCC vs NC - NC but close
Valentine vs KC - KC wins

Wood River vs DT. DT wins in a close one
Bergan vs Arlington- for toss up slight edge to Arlington
WPB vs OC. This is not a toss up game OC by 20 or more
HCC vs NFC Should be a great game
Valentine vs KC. KC by 2 or more scores

 

[GrizzzlyPanda]

Wood River vs DT. DT wins in a close one
Bergan vs Arlington- for toss up slight edge to Arlington
WPB vs OC. This is not a toss up game OC by 20 or more
HCC vs NFC Should be a great game
Valentine vs KC. KC by 2 or more scores

Curious on what insights you have that makes you think KC beats Valentine by 2+ scores? KC loan loss is at home to Mitchell 38-41 and Valentine beat Mitchell 45-26 at home. Add in a 3+ hour drive to Valentine.....just saying.

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

Curious on what insights you have that makes you think KC beats Valentine by 2+ scores? KC loan loss is at home to Mitchell 38-41 and Valentine beat Mitchell 45-26 at home. Add in a 3+ hour drive to Valentine.....just saying.

Lot depends on weather but thats my prediction

 

[stangsker]

Well, Ord just made things interesting

 

[ACICOD]

BUMP -- See updated projection above.

 

[Mr. Irrelevent]

BUMP -- See updated projection above.

What's it look like if KC beats Valentine?

If you havne't, check out C1....the top is nuts!

 

[spike17]

The bracket change much with an Arlington win over Bergan and DT win over Wood River

 

[ACICOD]

Here's what I get with a Kearney Catholic over Valentine win................no new teams enter, just a reshuffling of seeds for the 16 in the playoffs.

SEED
1	Norfolk Catholic	414
16	Lincoln Lutheran	354
8	Boone Central	378
9	Raymond Central	374
4	Malcolm	383
13	Doniphan-Trumbull	371
5	Cedar Catholic	382
12	Oakland-Craig	372
2	Bishop Neumann	394
15	Grand Island CC	365
7	Kearney Catholic	381
10	Valentine	373
3	Battle Creek	389
14	Aquinas Catholic	368
6	Wood River	381
11	Mitchell	373

 

[Bubman86]

I believe GICC is out with their loss to St Paul. Ord will be in.

 

[Mr. Irrelevent]

I believe GICC is out with their loss to St Paul. Ord will be in.

Does that change seeds at all? Drops GICC a division