Projected Class D-2 Playoff Bracket - After Week 7

Mavric · Oct 8, 2023

EAST BRACKET
# 1 - Johnson-Brock (8-0, 45.13)
#16 - East Butler (4-4, 36.88)

# 8 - Bloomfield (6-2, 41.75)
# 9 - Howells-Dodge (6-2, 41.5)

# 5 - Lourdes Central Catholic (7-1, 43)
#12 - Fullerton (5-3, 40.5)

# 4 - Humphrey St. Francis (7-1, 43.38)
#13 - High Plains Community (4-4, 38.88)

# 3 - Central Valley (8-0, 44.38)
#14 - Wausa (4-4, 38.13)

# 6 - Osceola (7-1, 42.25)
#11 - BDS (6-2, 40.75)

# 7 - EPPJ (6-2, 42)
#10 - Lawrence-Nelson (6-2, 41)

# 2 - Wynot (8-0, 45)
#15 - Niobrara/Verdigre (4-4, 37.38)

WEST BRACKET
# 1 - Dundy County Stratton (8-0, 44.88)
#16 - Kenesaw (4-4, 37.25)

# 8 - Boyd County (5-3, 39.38)
# 9 - Anselmo-Merna (4-4, 39.25)

# 5 - Axtell (6-2, 42.25)
#12 - Hitchcock County (4-4, 38.75)

# 4 - Sandhills/Thedford (7-1, 43)
#13 - Elm Creek (4-4, 38.5)

# 3 - Ainsworth (8-0, 43.75)
#14 - Loomis (4-4, 38)

# 6 - Twin Loup (5-3, 40.25)
#11 - Hyannis (4-4, 38.88)

# 7 - Mullen (5-3, 39.75)
#10 - Overton (5-3, 39.13)

# 2 - South Loup (8-0, 44.38)
#15 - Silver Lake (5-3, 38)

FIRST FIVE OUT
Falls City Sacred Heart (2-6, 36.38)
Bertrand (3-5, 36.25)
Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer (3-5, 36.13)
St. Mary's (3-5, 36)
Nebraska Lutheran (3-5, 36)

253847 · Oct 8, 2023

Opening round match up between Bloomfield vs Howells-Dodge. Wow, will be more like a quaterfinals/semi finals game

northeastNebraska · Oct 8, 2023

If Sacred Heart misses the playoffs it would be the first time since 1987.

IrishSlayer97 · Oct 9, 2023

northeastNebraska said:
If Sacred Heart misses the playoffs it would be the first time since 1987.

Do they sneak in if Winside beats East Butler on Friday? Winside seems to be the better team.

Cornicator · Oct 9, 2023

253847 said:
Opening round match up between Bloomfield vs Howells-Dodge. Wow, will be more like a quaterfinals/semi finals game

I think all of us are being a bit presumptuous about Wynot beating Bloomfield this weekend.

Loper90 · Oct 9, 2023

Mavric said:
EAST BRACKET
# 1 - Johnson-Brock (8-0, 45.13)
#16 - East Butler (4-4, 36.88)

# 8 - Bloomfield (6-2, 41.75)
# 9 - Howells-Dodge (6-2, 41.5)

# 5 - Lourdes Central Catholic (7-1, 43)
#12 - Fullerton (5-3, 40.5)

# 4 - Humphrey St. Francis (7-1, 43.38)
#13 - High Plains Community (4-4, 38.88)

# 3 - Central Valley (8-0, 44.38)
#14 - Wausa (4-4, 38.13)

# 6 - Osceola (7-1, 42.25)
#11 - BDS (6-2, 40.75)

# 7 - EPPJ (6-2, 42)
#10 - Lawrence-Nelson (6-2, 41)

# 2 - Wynot (8-0, 45)
#15 - Niobrara/Verdigre (4-4, 37.38)

WEST BRACKET
# 1 - Dundy County Stratton (8-0, 44.88)
#16 - Kenesaw (4-4, 37.25)

# 8 - Boyd County (5-3, 39.38)
# 9 - Anselmo-Merna (4-4, 39.25)

# 5 - Axtell (6-2, 42.25)
#12 - Hitchcock County (4-4, 38.75)

# 4 - Sandhills/Thedford (7-1, 43)
#13 - Elm Creek (4-4, 38.5)

# 3 - Ainsworth (8-0, 43.75)
#14 - Loomis (4-4, 38)

# 6 - Twin Loup (5-3, 40.25)
#11 - Hyannis (4-4, 38.88)

# 7 - Mullen (5-3, 39.75)
#10 - Overton (5-3, 39.13)

# 2 - South Loup (8-0, 44.38)
#15 - Silver Lake (5-3, 38)

FIRST FIVE OUT
Falls City Sacred Heart (2-6, 36.38)
Bertrand (3-5, 36.25)
Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer (3-5, 36.13)
St. Mary's (3-5, 36)
Nebraska Lutheran (3-5, 36)

Would Silver Lake be the higher seed over Loomis based on record?

Huskers783 · Oct 9, 2023

POINT SYSTEM TIEBREAKER
1- If only two teams have identical point averages and are tied for one of the qualifying spots and/or
higher seed and the teams have played each other, the team that won the contest between the
two teams in question will qualify for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.
2- If the two teams have not played each other or if more than two teams are tied, Step 3 will be
used to determine which team qualifies for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.
3- If two or more teams have identical point averages and are tied for one or both of the remaining
qualifying spots and/or higher seed, the team, or teams with the greatest number of wins over
first division teams (within their classification – Class A & B only) will be selected and/or given the
higher seed. If only two teams remain TIED with the same number of wins over first division
teams after this step and the two teams have played each other, Step 1 will be used to determine
the qualifier for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.
4- If a tie still exists, the team or teams with the greatest number of wins over first and second
division teams (within their classification – Class A & B only) will be selected and/or given the
higher seed. If only two teams remain TIED with the same number of wins over first and second
division teams after this step and the two teams have played each other, Step 1 will be used to
determine the qualifier for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.
5- If two or more teams have identical point averages and are tied for one or both of the remaining
qualifying spots and/or higher seed, the team or teams playing the greatest number of first
division teams (within their classification – Class A & B only) will be selected and/or given the
higher seed. If only two teams remain TIED with the same number of games played against first
division teams after this step and the two teams have played each other, Step 1 will be used to
determine the qualifier for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.
6- If two or more teams have identical point averages and are tied for one or both of the remaining
qualifying spots and/or higher seed, each team’s opponents’ wins, and losses will be totaled, and
the winning percentages calculated. The team whose opponents have the highest winning
percentage based on this calculation will be selected as the qualifier for the State Play-offs and/or
get the higher seed. If only two teams remain TIED with the same opponent winning percentage
after this step and the two teams have played each other, Step 1 will be used to determine the
qualifier for the State Play-offs and/or get the higher seed.

Cornicator · Oct 9, 2023

Loper90 said:
Would Silver Lake be the higher seed over Loomis based on record?

Yes. If Silver Lake has and Loomis were to tie and Silver Lake has a 5-3 record, they would be the higher seed between the two teams.

Huskers783 · Oct 9, 2023

Cornicator said:
Yes. If Silver Lake has and Loomis were to tie and Silver Lake has a 5-3 record, they would be the higher seed between the two teams.

That is not accurate... The official tiebreaker rules are listed in my previous post.

253847 · Oct 9, 2023

Cornicator said:
I think all of us are being a bit presumptuous about Wynot beating Bloomfield this weekend.

I agree 100%, that game could go either way. Bloomfield winning will really mix up the seedings. That game makes week 8 very interesting. I think either way there will be great match-ups in round 1 and 2 of playoffs.

Cornicator · Oct 9, 2023

Huskers783 said:
That is not accurate... The official tiebreaker rules are listed in my previous post.

I'm confused. Don't your tiebreaker rules point out if one team is 5-3 and they tie with a team that is 4-4, and those teams never played in the regular season, then the team with the better record would be the higher seed?

northeastNebraska · Oct 9, 2023

253847 said:
I agree 100%, that game could go either way. Bloomfield winning will really mix up the seedings. That game makes week 8 very interesting. I think either way there will be great match-ups in round 1 and 2 of playoffs.

Bloomfield vs Wynot could impact a lot of teams if Bloomfield wins. Could impact Crofton's overall seeding in D1.

Huskers783 · Oct 9, 2023

1	Johnson-Brock (7-0)	45.5
16	Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)	36.375

8	Howells-Dodge (5-2)	41.125
9	BDS (5-2)	41.125

4	Lourdes Central Catholic (6-1)	43
13	Fullerton (4-3)	39.125

5	EPPJ (5-2)	42.375
12	Boyd County (5-2)	39.75

3	Humphrey St. Francis (6-1)	43.375
14	Wausa (3-4)	38.5

6	Osceola (6-1)	42.25
11	High Plains Community (4-3)	40.25

7	Bloomfield (6-1)	41.375
10	Lawrence-Nelson (5-2)	41

2	Wynot (7-0)	45
15	East Butler (3-4)	37.25

1	Dundy County Stratton (7-0)	45.25
16	St. Mary's (3-4)	36.375

8	Mullen (5-2)	39.75
9	Hyannis (3-4)	39.25

4	Ainsworth (7-0)	44.125
13	Hitchcock County (3-4)	38.375

5	Sandhills/Thedford (6-1)	43
12	Overton (4-3)	39.125

3	South Loup (7-0)	44.375
14	Silver Lake (4-3)	38

6	Axtell (5-2)	42.25
11	Elm Creek (3-4)	38.5

7	Twin Loup (5-2)	40.25
10	Anselmo-Merna (4-3)	39.25

2	Central Valley (7-0)	44.375
15	Bertrand (3-4)	38

Huskers783 · Oct 9, 2023

Cornicator said:
I'm confused. Don't your tiebreaker rules point out if one team is 5-3 and they tie with a team that is 4-4, and those teams never played in the regular season, then the team with the better record would be the higher seed?

It has more to do with quality of wins. Most wins over Div 1 teams, then if still tied, it goes to wins over Div 1 & 2 teams, then if still tied it goes to played the most Div 1 teams

Cornicator · Oct 9, 2023

Looks like a lot of Div 2 and Div 3 "teams" could move down to Div 3 and Div 4 wins this week. It will all be figured out by Saturday.

Husker7562 · Oct 9, 2023

Huskers783 said:
1 Johnson-Brock (7-0)
45.5
16 Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)
36.375
8 Howells-Dodge (5-2)
41.125
9 BDS (5-2)
41.125
4 Lourdes Central Catholic (6-1)
43
13 Fullerton (4-3)
39.125
5 EPPJ (5-2)
42.375
12 Boyd County (5-2)
39.75
3 Humphrey St. Francis (6-1)
43.375
14 Wausa (3-4)
38.5
6 Osceola (6-1)
42.25
11 High Plains Community (4-3)
40.25
7 Bloomfield (6-1)
41.375
10 Lawrence-Nelson (5-2)
41
2 Wynot (7-0)
45
15 East Butler (3-4)
37.25
1 Dundy County Stratton (7-0)
45.25
16 St. Mary's (3-4)
36.375
8 Mullen (5-2)
39.75
9 Hyannis (3-4)
39.25
4 Ainsworth (7-0)
44.125
13 Hitchcock County (3-4)
38.375
5 Sandhills/Thedford (6-1)
43
12 Overton (4-3)
39.125
3 South Loup (7-0)
44.375
14 Silver Lake (4-3)
38
6 Axtell (5-2)
42.25
11 Elm Creek (3-4)
38.5
7 Twin Loup (5-2)
40.25
10 Anselmo-Merna (4-3)
39.25
2 Central Valley (7-0)
44.375
15 Bertrand (3-4)
38

Boyd County should go West. The school is located farther west than St. Mary's and I think maybe Central Valley goes east. Boyd would be in a tie breaker with Mullen. Not sure who wins the tie breaker though.

Huskers783 · Oct 10, 2023

1	Johnson-Brock (7-0)	45.5
16	Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)	36.375
8	Howells-Dodge (5-2)	41.125
9	BDS (5-2)	41.125
4	Lourdes Central Catholic (6-1)	43
13	Wausa (3-4)	38.5
5	EPPJ (5-2)	42.375
12	Fullerton (4-3)	39.125
3	Humphrey St. Francis (6-1)	43.375
14	Silver Lake (4-3)	38
6	Osceola (6-1)	42.25
11	High Plains Community (4-3)	40.25
7	Bloomfield (6-1)	41.375
10	Lawrence-Nelson (5-2)	41
2	Wynot (7-0)	45
15	East Butler (3-4)	37.25
1	Dundy County Stratton (7-0)	45.25
16	Kenesaw	37.25
8	Boyd County (5-2)	39.75
9	Mullen (5-2)	39.75
4	Ainsworth (7-0)	44.125
13	Elm Creek (3-4)	38.5
5	Sandhills/Thedford (6-1)	43
12	Anselmo-Merna (4-3)	39.25
3	South Loup (7-0)	44.375
14	Hitchcock County (3-4)	38.375
6	Axtell (5-2)	42.25
11	Overton (4-3)	39.125
7	Twin Loup (5-2)	40.25
10	Hyannis (3-4)	39.25
2	Central Valley (7-0)	44.375
15	Bertrand (3-4)	38

Roany1 · Oct 10, 2023

Huskers783 said:
1 Johnson-Brock (7-0)
45.5
16 Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)
36.375
8 Howells-Dodge (5-2)
41.125
9 BDS (5-2)
41.125
4 Lourdes Central Catholic (6-1)
43
13 Wausa (3-4)
38.5
5 EPPJ (5-2)
42.375
12 Fullerton (4-3)
39.125
3 Humphrey St. Francis (6-1)
43.375
14 Silver Lake (4-3)
38
6 Osceola (6-1)
42.25
11 High Plains Community (4-3)
40.25
7 Bloomfield (6-1)
41.375
10 Lawrence-Nelson (5-2)
41
2 Wynot (7-0)
45
15 East Butler (3-4)
37.25
1 Dundy County Stratton (7-0)
45.25
16 St. Mary's (3-4)
36.375
8 Boyd County (5-2)
39.75
9 Mullen (5-2)
39.75
4 Ainsworth (7-0)
44.125
13 Elm Creek (3-4)
38.5
5 Sandhills/Thedford (6-1)
43
12 Anselmo-Merna (4-3)
39.25
3 South Loup (7-0)
44.375
14 Hitchcock County (3-4)
38.375
6 Axtell (5-2)
42.25
11 Overton (4-3)
39.125
7 Twin Loup (5-2)
40.25
10 Hyannis (3-4)
39.25
2 Central Valley (7-0)
44.375
15 Bertrand (3-4)
38

How are you getting Sacred Heart in here at all? They are 38th after week 7. Kenesaw is 30th and not even in your bracket at all.

Huskers783 · Oct 10, 2023

Roany1 said:
How are you getting Sacred Heart in here at all? They are 38th after week 7. Kenesaw is 30th and not even in your bracket at all.

I did my best to predict the final week of the season. I did edit my previous post to include Kenesaw. I had an error in my spreadsheet that pulled St. Mary's instead of Kenesaw...
Here are #31 - #36 after all predictions and updates to points. Sacred Heart has the tie breaker over both St. Mary's and CWC... Obviously there is a chance I predicted some games incorrectly, which would switch around some of the points. This is just my best guess...

31. Kenesaw (4-3)	37.25
32. Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)	36.375
St. Mary's (3-4)	36.375
CWC (2-5)	36.375
Loomis (3-4)	36.25
Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer (3-4)	36.125

Roany1 · Oct 10, 2023

Huskers783 said:
I did my best to predict the final week of the season. I did edit my previous post to include Kenesaw. I had an error in my spreadsheet that pulled St. Mary's instead of Kenesaw...
Here are #31 - #36 after all predictions and updates to points. Sacred Heart has the tie breaker over both St. Mary's and CWC... Obviously there is a chance I predicted some games incorrectly, which would switch around some of the points. This is just my best guess...

31. Kenesaw (4-3)
37.25
32. Falls City Sacred Heart (2-5)
36.375
St. Mary's (3-4)
36.375
CWC (2-5)
36.375
Loomis (3-4)
36.25
Humboldt-Table Rock-Steinauer (3-4)
36.125

Ok, fair enough. So you're saying they have a chance if everything falls exactly right?

EndzoneView · Oct 10, 2023

Isn’t Nebraska Lutheran in even with a loss to Osceola this week over falls city?

Huskers783 · Oct 10, 2023

With a Sacred Heart loss, that drops Neb. Lutheran's win vs. them to a Div 4 and drops Neb. Lutheran's total to 36 which doesn't qualify them for a tiebreaker

Huskers783 · Oct 10, 2023

Roany1 said:
Ok, fair enough. So you're saying they have a chance if everything falls exactly right?

Yes
All the 2 and 6 win teams are now listed as Div 3 and Div 1 teams respectively... If those teams lose, they drop to Div. 4 and Div. 2 teams and that changes the points for ALL of their opponents...
And there are some hard to call games, like Bloomfield v. Wynot...

A lot can happen. This is a fun time of year for high school football!

Cornicator · Oct 10, 2023

Class D2 Top 10, Total Offense, Total Defense, Scoring offense and Scoring Defense Numbers:

Johnson-Brock - 391.1 yards per game, 173 yards allowed per game, 51.3 ppg, 7.4 ppg allowed

Dundy County - Stratton -384.1 yards per game, 173.5 yards allowed per game 45.1 ppg, 11.1 ppg allowed,

Wynot - 356.3 yards per game, 209 yards allowed per game, 42 ppg, 13 ppg allowed

Central Valley -399 yards per game, 152.8 yards allowed per game, 57 ppg, 10.2 ppg allowed,

South Loup - 377.6 yards per game, 160.8 yards allowed per game, 53.1 ppg, 16.2 ppg allowed,

Ainsworth - 441.4 yards per game, 116 yards allowed per game, 60 ppg, 4.8 ppg allowed

St. Francis - 280.9 yards per game, 210 yards allowed per game, 40.8 ppg, 9.1 ppg allowed

Bloomfield- 299 yards per game, 182 yards allowed per game, 42.2 ppg, 10 ppg allowed,

Howells-Dodge - 319 yards per game, 242.7 yards allowed per game, 44.5 ppg, 22.3 ppg allowed

Sandhills-Thedford - 375.3 yards per game, 217.2 yards allowed per game, 53.1 ppg, 23.7 ppg allowed

Huskers783 · Oct 10, 2023

Did you pull that off of MaxPreps?

Cornicator · Oct 10, 2023

Huskers783 said:
Did you pull that off of MaxPreps?

Ha.. yes, so of course it could be wrong. The total defensive yardage stats for Dundy-County Stratton, Sandhills-Thedford, St. Francis, and South Loup could be a bit off. A couple of their opponents didn't report stats. But they were all games where they dominated so I actually might have given them better numbers than they were as I just added a 50 yard total for those games.

Husker7562 · Oct 11, 2023

How is district champ decided if there is a 3 way tie. For example Ainsworth gets beat by Boyd County, who was beat by EPPJ, who then lost to Ainsworth.

highschoolfootballnut · Oct 11, 2023

Husker7562 said:
How is district champ decided if there is a 3 way tie. For example Ainsworth gets beat by Boyd County, who was beat by EPPJ, who then lost to Ainsworth.

head to head

Cornicator · Oct 11, 2023

Husker7562 said:
How is district champ decided if there is a 3 way tie. For example Ainsworth gets beat by Boyd County, who was beat by EPPJ, who then lost to Ainsworth.

highschoolfootballnut said:
head to head

Let me preface this answer by saying I don't know the correct answer. However, wouldn't the Power points still come into play if you had a 3 way tie at the top where Team A beat Team B, Team B beat Team C, and Team C beats Team A?

rrogersne · Oct 11, 2023

Husker7562 said:
How is district champ decided if there is a 3 way tie. For example Ainsworth gets beat by Boyd County, who was beat by EPPJ, who then lost to Ainsworth.

This is right out of the NSAA Manual.
Steps for Determining District Places
1. To determine 1st place, the win-loss record within the district will be the first consideration.
2. If teams are tied, competition between the tied teams will be considered.
3. If the tie cannot be broken by Step 2, the overall winning percentage of all games played will be considered.
4. If at any step there are only two teams tied, refer to Step 2 to break the tie.
5. If the tie cannot be broken by Step 3, determine which team(s) played the greatest number of teams with a winning record.
6. If the tie remains, the point system average and point system tiebreaker will be used

Antone13 · Oct 12, 2023

What does the state do with forfeits? I know in the past the team could decide not to take the game since they didnt play it so it wouldnt count against them in power points. I know Osmond and Cedar Bluffs forfeited their season which would change alot of power points for both D1 and D2 teams?

Husker7562 · Oct 12, 2023

Bottom tier win I believe if you didn't get the game replaced.

BlueBud10 · Oct 13, 2023

Burwell, A/L, and CWC unexpected wins will likely shake things up a bit.

Wynot holds on over Bloomfield in a classic.

Huskers783 · Oct 13, 2023

Do you have scores of those games?

BlueBud10 · Oct 13, 2023

Huskers783 said:
Do you have scores of those games?

AL 22-16
Burwell 34-10
CWC 16-12

Eusematt · Oct 13, 2023

Anyone have the East Butler score?

Huskers783 · Oct 13, 2023

I can't find it anywhere...

ACICOD · Oct 13, 2023

Winside won. Don't have a score.

Cornicator · Oct 14, 2023

BlueBud10 said:
Burwell, A/L, and CWC unexpected wins will likely shake things up a bit.

Wynot holds on over Bloomfield in a classic.

I don't think there was anything unexpected there.

BlueBud10 · Oct 14, 2023

Cornicator said:
I don't think there was anything unexpected there.

I hadn't seen any projection that picked 1-6 Burwell over 4-3 Overton.

Most had A/L losing to EC.

CWC was more of a toss up.

Projected Class D-2 Playoff Bracket - After Week 7

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