Football D1 Bracket Prediction

[Ponchn7138]

Just for fun. Predicted the rest of regular season. Here is Playoff Bracket.


WEST EAST

1 Burwell
1 Guardian Angels Central Catholic
2 Fullerton
2 EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend)
3 Creighton
4 South Loup (Callaway/Arnold)
3 Lutheran High Northeast
4 Howells-Dodge
5 BDS
5 Hemingford
6 Dundy County-Stratton
6 Osceola-High Plains
7 Lourdes Central Catholic
7 Amherst
8 Wisner-Pilger
8 North Central
9 Elmwood-Murdock
9 Nebraska Christian
10 Laurel-Concord-Coleridge
11 Cross County
10 Arapahoe
11 Arcadia-Loup City
12 Sutherland
13 Ansley-Litchfield
14 Shelton
12 Tri County
15 Cambridge
13 Palmer
16 Bayard
14 Neligh-Oakdale
15 Thayer Central

16 East Butler

*Alma First one out..

 

[Ponchn7138]

After Week 7...

E/W Teams Prediction
1 w Burwell (6-0), 42.5000 355
1 e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend) (6-0), 44.1667 350
2 w Nebraska Christian (6-0), 43.3333 350
2 e Howells-Dodge (4-2), 43.5000 346
3 w Creighton (6-0), 44.1667 345
4 w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold) (6-0), 43.3333 343
3 e Lutheran High Northeast (5-1), 43.0000 343
4 e Guardian Angels Central Catholic (5-1), 43.0000 343
5 e Fullerton (4-2), 41.8333 336
6 e BDS (6-0), 40.8333 335
5 w Dundy County-Stratton (5-1), 41.3333 333
7 e Wisner-Pilger (5-1), 42.1667 331
6 w Hemingford (3-3), 41.5000 329
8 e Lourdes Central Catholic (4-3), 40.5714 329
9 e Osceola-High Plains (3-3), 40.6667 324
7 w North Central (3-3), 39.8333 324
10 e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge (3-3), 40.6667 322
8 w Arcadia-Loup City (2-4), 39.5000 322
11 e Cross County (4-2), 40.1667 317
9 w Amherst (3-3), 40.6667 315
12 e Thayer Central (3-3), 39.0000 312
13 e Elmwood-Murdock (2-4), 37.8333 312
10 w Sutherland (4-2), 38.5000 311
11 w Elm Creek (2-4), 38.6667 310
14 e Neligh-Oakdale (3-3), 38.1667 307
15 e Tri County (2-5), 37.1429 305
16 e East Butler (1-5), 38.3333 303
12 w Palmer (1-5), 37.5000 303
13 w Shelton (3-3), 37.3333 302
14 w Hitchcock County (2-4), 35.3333 302
15 w Ansley-Litchfield (3-3), 38.1667 300
16 w Ainsworth (2-4), 37.8333 300

First 3 out
West Holt (1-5), 36.6667 298
w Arapahoe (3-3), 37.3333 297
w Cambridge (3-3), 37.3333 295

 

[sportsjunkie2030]

Here is what I have, which this could be wrong with the East West stuff. Just let me know if it is. I just picked who I though would win and lose the last 2 games.

West
Burwell
Boyd County

Arapahoe
Amherst

DC-S
Ansley Litchfield

Sutherland
Cambridge


Nebraska Christian
Elm Creek

Hemingford
Neligh Oakdale

ALC
North Central

Shelton
South Loup

East

Exeter-Milligan Friend
East Butler

BDS
Wisner Pilger

GACC
Thayer Central

LHNE
Cross County


Howells Dodge
Elmwood Murdock

Fullerton
Osceola HP

Lourdes CC
LCC

Southern
Creighton

Just curious, it looks as if BDS is an 8 or 9 seed here. Do you think they will get beat once before playoffs, or is their schedule so weak that they fall to the 8 or 9 seed?

 

[HuskinItUp]

I must have added one in wrong. Thanks!

My top 32 in points looked like this
Burwell 45.0
South Loup
Nebraska Christian
Exeter Millligan Friend
Creighton
Howells Dodge
BDS
Dundy County
GACC
LHNE
Sutherland 42.25
Fullerton
Hemingford
Lourdes CC
Wisner Pilger
LC Coleridge
Arcadia Loup City
Arapahoe
Amherst
Osceola HP 39.875
North Central
Neligh Oakdale
Cross County
Cambridge
Thayer Central
Ansley Litchfield
Elm Creek
Elmwood Murdock
Shelton 38.3
Southern
Boyd County
East Butler 37.2

 

[coach3405]

How do you have Burwell as the 1 with 45.... l have them finishing at 43.75

 

[HuskinItUp]

West
#1 Burwell
#16 Boyd County

#8 Arapahoe
#9 Amherst

#4 Dundy County
#13 Ansley Litchfield

#5 Sutherland
#12 Cambridge

#2 South Loup
#15 Shelton

#7 ALC
#10 North Central

#6 Hemingford
#11 Neligh Oakdale

#3 Nebraska Christian
#14 Elm Creek

East
#1 Exeter Milligan Friend
#16 East Butler

#8 Lourdes CC
#9 Wisner Pilger

#4 BDS
#13 Thayer Central

#5 GACC
#12 Cross County

#2 Creighton
#15 Southern

#7 Fullerton
#10 LC-Coleridge

#6 LHNE
#11 Osceola High Plains

#3 Howells Dodge
#14 Elmwood Murdock

 

[HuskinItUp]

How do you have Burwell as the 1 with 45.... l have them finishing at 43.75

North Central 45 5-3
West Holt 40 2-6
Hemingford 45 5-3
Elm Creek 45 3-5
Amherst 45 3-5
ALC 45 4-4
South Loup 50 7-1
Ansley Litchfield 45 3-5

360/8 = 45

I just predicted the other teams records which may be incorrect in the end. South Loup could definitely beat burwell this week and change it up.

 

[coach3405]

They are currently at 255 Plus 95 (50 for south loup, 45 for Ansley Litchfield puts them at 350, 350/8=43.75)

 

[HuskinItUp]

They are currently at 255 Plus 95 (50 for south loup, 45 for Ansley Litchfield puts them at 350, 350/8=43.75)

They sure are but ALC and Elm Creek get +5 each for bumping up to a division 2 by the end of the year = 360

5-3 4-4 and 3-5 are division 2 records

 

[coach3405]

You’re right , missed those when doing figures.

 

[sportsjunkie2030]

West
#1 Burwell
#16 Boyd County

#8 Arapahoe
#9 Amherst

#4 Dundy County
#13 Ansley Litchfield

#5 Sutherland
#12 Cambridge

#2 South Loup
#15 Shelton

#7 ALC
#10 North Central

#6 Hemingford
#11 Neligh Oakdale

#3 Nebraska Christian
#14 Elm Creek

East
#1 Exeter Milligan Friend
#16 East Butler

#8 Lourdes CC
#9 Wisner Pilger

#4 Creighton
#13 Thayer Central

#5 GACC
#12 Cross County

#2 Creighton
#15 Southern

#7 Fullerton
#10 LC-Coleridge

#6 LHNE
#11 Osceola High Plains

#3 Howells Dodge
#14 Elmwood Murdock

Can’t seem to find BDS! I’d assume they’d be in the east

 

[HuskinItUp]

They sure are but ALC and Elm Creek get +5 each for bumping up to a division 2 by the end of the year = 360

Can’t seem to find BDS! I’d assume they’d be in the east

Thanks for catching that, idk what my deal is with BDS on this thing haha. #4 seed

 

[Ponchn7138]

Here is updated prediction WITH OUT tie breakers. Work on that next

1w Burwell (6-0), 42.5000 8-0 365
2w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold) (6-0), 43.3333 7-1 363
3w Nebraska Christian (6-0), 43.3333 6-2 350
4w Creighton (6-0), 44.1667 8-0 350
1e BDS (6-0), 40.8333 8-0 350
2e Howells-Dodge (4-2), 43.5000 6-2 346
3e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend) (6-0), 44.1667 8-0 345
4e Lutheran High Northeast (5-1), 43.0000 7-1 343
5e Guardian Angels Central Catholic (5-1), 43.0000 7-1 343
5w Dundy County-Stratton (5-1), 41.3333 7-1 343
6e Fullerton (4-2), 41.8333 7-1 341
6w Hemingford (3-3), 41.5000 5-3 334
7e Lourdes Central Catholic (4-3), 40.5714 5-3 334
8e Wisner-Pilger (5-1), 42.1667 6-2 331
7w North Central (3-3), 39.8333 5-3 329
8w Arcadia-Loup City (2-4), 39.5000 4-4 327
9e Osceola-High Plains (3-3), 40.6667 5-3 324
10e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge (3-3), 40.6667 4-4 322
11e Thayer Central (3-3), 39.0000 4-4 322
12e Elmwood-Murdock (2-4), 37.8333 4-4 322
9 w Sutherland (4-2), 38.5000 6-2 321
10w Amherst (3-3), 40.6667 3-5 320
11w Elm Creek (2-4), 38.6667 3-5 320
13e Cross County (4-2), 40.1667 4-4 317
14e Neligh-Oakdale (3-3), 38.1667 4-4 312
12w Hitchcock County (2-4), 35.3333 4-4 312
13w Ansley-Litchfield (3-3), 38.1667 3-5 310
14w Arapahoe (3-3), 37.3333 4-4 308
15e Tri County (2-5), 37.1429 3-5 305
15w Cambridge (3-3), 37.3333 3-5 305
16w Southwest (2-4), 36.1667 3-5 305
16e Palmer (1-5), 37.5000 2-6 303

First one out with Tie Break

East Butler (1-5), 38.3333 2-6 303

 

[wolfy94]

Ponch.... Neliegh, Palmer, and Fullerton are all west of Creighton. According to my map anyway

 

[Ponchn7138]

Poor effort on my part. Some one check the E/W line for this one...

1w Burwell (6-0), 42.5000 8-0 365
2w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold) (6-0), 43.3333 7-1 363
1e Nebraska Christian (6-0), 43.3333 6-2 350
2e Creighton (6-0), 44.1667 8-0 350
3e BDS (6-0), 40.8333 8-0 350
4e Howells-Dodge (4-2), 43.5000 6-2 346
5e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend) (6-0), 44.1667 8-0 345
6e Lutheran High Northeast (5-1), 43.0000 7-1 343
7e Guardian Angels Central Catholic (5-1), 43.0000 7-1 343
3w Dundy County-Stratton (5-1), 41.3333 7-1 343
8e Fullerton (4-2), 41.8333 7-1 341
4w Hemingford (3-3), 41.5000 5-3 334
9e Lourdes Central Catholic (4-3), 40.5714 5-3 334
10e Wisner-Pilger (5-1), 42.1667 6-2 331
5w North Central (3-3), 39.8333 5-3 329
6w Arcadia-Loup City (2-4), 39.5000 4-4 327
11e Osceola-High Plains (3-3), 40.6667 5-3 324
12e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge (3-3), 40.6667 4-4 322
13e Thayer Central (3-3), 39.0000 4-4 322
14e Elmwood-Murdock (2-4), 37.8333 4-4 322
7w Sutherland (4-2), 38.5000 6-2 321
8w Amherst (3-3), 40.6667 3-5 320
9w Elm Creek (2-4), 38.6667 3-5 320
15e Cross County (4-2), 40.1667 4-4 317
10w Neligh-Oakdale (3-3), 38.1667 4-4 312
11w Hitchcock County (2-4), 35.3333 4-4 312
12w Ansley-Litchfield (3-3), 38.1667 3-5 310
13w Arapahoe (3-3), 37.3333 4-4 308
16e Tri County (2-5), 37.1429 3-5 305
14w Cambridge (3-3), 37.3333 3-5 305
15w Southwest (2-4), 36.1667 3-5 305
16w Palmer (1-5), 37.5000 2-6 303

 

[Bubman86]

Just curious, doesn’t anyone else find it sad that teams with one or two wins and not real strong schedules are possibly making the playoffs?

 

[northeastNebraska]

I kind of hope Creighton gets pushed West. The east is stacked with BDS, EMF, GACC, LHNE, Howells-Dodge.

South Loup and Burwell are damn good teams as well. The east is just deeper in my opinion this year.

 

[wolfy94]

I kind of hope Creighton gets pushed West. The east is stacked with BDS, EMF, GACC, LHNE, Howells-Dodge.

South Loup and Burwell are damn good teams as well. The east is just deeper in my opinion this year.

I agree, would make things lot more interesting, but I really hope they don't haha.

And maybe just this year, could we not complain about bad teams making it in, its they way it is, nothing can change right now, so why talk about it? Its the same argument every year, and that horse is long past dead. Lets just concentrate on the teams that make it this year.

 

[nenebskers]

Just curious, doesn’t anyone else find it sad that teams with one or two wins and not real strong schedules are possibly making the playoffs?

Or in D2 where an 0-6 Winside who has forfeited games is only 3 spots away from qualifying!

 

[aug291992]

D

West
#1 Burwell
#16 Boyd County

#8 Arapahoe

Or in D2 where an 0-6 Winside who has forfeited games is only 3 spots away from qualifying!

Or in D2 where an 0-6 Winside who has forfeited games is only 3 spots away from qualifying!

I kind of hope Creighton gets pushed West. The east is stacked with BDS, EMF, GACC, LHNE, Howells-Dodge.

South Loup and Burwell are damn good teams as well. The east is just deeper in my opinion this year.

 

[huskerlandfan]

Just curious, it looks as if BDS is an 8 or 9 seed here. Do you think they will get beat once before playoffs, or is their schedule so weak that they fall to the 8 or 9 seed?

Looking at their remaining schedule, it doesn't look like their points will improve much if any. Cross County may give them a pretty good game though.

 

[Ponchn7138]

BDS has could get a jump. I have them ending with 350 and a 3 way tie for the #1 seed. Id have to look at the tie break. Between Neb Christian, Creighton, and BDS.

 

[Ponchn7138]

Neb Christian gets tie break. Then Creighton #2 seed and #3 would be BDS

 

[atlanta_ace]

I so wish the 8-man coaches would fix their playoffs so that we can get rid of loaded sides of the bracket. The fix is simple: keep the first round as it is for geography purposes blowouts; then re-seed the 16-teams and start the playoffs.

This would get rid of loaded sides and, more importantly, stop the 1-seed's from having to travel in the second round (when a 9 beats an 8).

 

[northeastNebraska]

I so wish the 8-man coaches would fix their playoffs so that we can get rid of loaded sides of the bracket. The fix is simple: keep the first round as it is for geography purposes blowouts; then re-seed the 16-teams and start the playoffs.

This would get rid of loaded sides and, more importantly, stop the 1-seed's from having to travel in the second round (when a 9 beats an 8).

Agree. This would help the 8 man playoffs greatly.

 

[coachsloup]

I so wish the 8-man coaches would fix their playoffs so that we can get rid of loaded sides of the bracket. The fix is simple: keep the first round as it is for geography purposes blowouts; then re-seed the 16-teams and start the playoffs.

This would get rid of loaded sides and, more importantly, stop the 1-seed's from having to travel in the second round (when a 9 beats an 8).

You think the coaches decide? Trust me, as a former coach we alllll want/wanted something different. NSAA calls the shots, we just made the best of it.

 

[scrapper14]

You think the coaches decide? Trust me, as a former coach we alllll want/wanted something different. NSAA calls the shots, we just made the best of it.

As a former coach then you SHOULD know how the change process works then......Schools submit proposals and then every school gets a vote on if the proposal passes or not. One school, one vote......NOT the NSAA Board.

 

[coachsloup]

In theory, it's that easy. In reality, it's unfortunately not. I hope for a change though, would be fun to cut it down somehow.

 

[SPbObRT]

Sloupdog why did the coaches vote the way they did, nobody wants to watch or play in the games that are 90-12, 84-7 and so on especially when it's cold out, what do they have to do to get this fixed. I find it quite embarrassing that a team with a losing record even gets to play in the playoffs, as a fan as coach as a player it's not a honor to play in that game or as an official that get's assigned that game, it's just stupid.

 

[n2deep2bn]

East
1. Creighton
16. Southern

8. Lourdes CC
9. Wisner Pilger

4. Howells Dodge
13. Thayer Central

5. DBS
12. Osceola High Plains

2. EMF
15. Elmwood Murdock

7. Fullerton
10. Laurel CC

6. Lutheran High Northeast
11. Cross County

3. GACC
14. East Butler



West
1. Burwell
16. Palmer

8. Sutherland
9. Cambridge

4. Hemingford
13. Arapahoe

5. North Central
12. Neligh Oakdale

2. South Loup
15. Ainsworth

7. Dundy County Stratton
10. Arcadia Loup City

6. Elm Creek
11. Amherst

3. Nebraska Christian
14. Ansley Litchfield

 

[ahansel]

How does Southern go west. They are a east team. By Beatrice.

 

[n2deep2bn]

I corrected it.

 

[Ponchn7138]

Someone check the E/W split.

1w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold)
2w Burwell
3w Nebraska Christian
1e Creighton
2e Howells-Dodge
3e BDS
4e Guardian Angels Central Catholic
5e Lutheran High Northeast
6e Fullerton
7e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend)
4w Hemingford
8e Wisner-Pilger
9e Lourdes Central Catholic
5w North Central
6w Arcadia-Loup City
10e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge
11e Elmwood-Murdock
7w Dundy County-Stratton
8w Amherst
9w Elm Creek
10 w Cambridge
12e Cross County
13e Osceola-High Plains
14e Thayer Central
11w Sutherland
15e East Butler
12w Neligh-Oakdale
13w Ansley-Litchfield
14w Arapahoe
16e Southern
15W Bayard
16w Palmer

 

[HuskinItUp]

Palmyra and Wakefield have an impact on the points depending if they will end up Division 2 or division 1 teams. I also picked Elkhorn Valley to win in this projection. I have Wakefield winning making them a division 1 and Palmyra as well.

WEST

#1 Burwell
#16 Palmer

#8 Sutherland
#9 Amherst

#5 Arcadia Loup City
#12 Elm Creek

#4 Hemingford
#13 Arapahoe
___
#2 South loup
#15 Ainsworth

#7 DCS
#10 Cambridge

#6 North Central
#11 Neligh Oakdale

#3 Nebraska Christian
#14 Ansley Litchfield

EAST

#1 Creighton
#16 Elmwood Murdock

#8 Lourdes CC
#9 Wisner Pilger

#5 LHNE
#12 Thayer Central

#4 GACC
#13 East Butler
___
#2 EMF
#15 Southern

#7 Fullerton
#10 Cross County

#6 BDS
#11 Osceola HP

#3 Howells Dodge
#14 Laurel CC

 

[Ponchn7138]

Who is favorite in Elmwood Murdock vs Palmrya game? Big game for bracket

Wakefield over Wisner ?

Elm Creek vs Acardia ?

 

[HuskinItUp]

Who is favorite in Elmwood Murdock vs Palmrya game? Big game for bracket

Wakefield over Wisner ?

Elm Creek vs Acardia ?

Arcadia Loup City should win. I live in central Nebraska so I hear a lot about these teams, and I know ALC just got their starting QB back for the first time since week 2 or so. They played South Loup and Burwell tough so I would put my money on them. Elm Creek played Burwell tough too but ALC seems to be more consistent.

Wakefield and Wisner I have no idea. I just compared scores and went with Wakefield.

Elmwood murdock an palmyra i have no idea either I just picked Wakefield because of record.

hopefully someone else can give some insight on those games

 

[Ponchn7138]

I also have Neb Christian staying East. With these teams in. Is that correct?

w Burwell (6-0), 42.5000
w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold) (6-0), 43.3333
e Nebraska Christian (6-0), 43.3333
e Creighton (6-0), 44.1667
e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend) (6-0), 44.1667
e Guardian Angels Central Catholic (5-1), 43.0000
e Howells-Dodge (4-2), 43.5000
e BDS (6-0), 40.8333
e Lutheran High Northeast (5-1), 43.0000
e Fullerton (4-2), 41.8333
w Hemingford (3-3), 41.5000
e Wisner-Pilger (5-1), 42.1667
e Lourdes Central Catholic (4-3), 40.5714
w Arcadia-Loup City (2-4), 39.5000
w North Central (3-3), 39.8333
w Elm Creek (2-4), 38.6667
e Cross County (4-2), 40.1667
w Dundy County-Stratton (5-1), 41.3333
w Sutherland (4-2), 38.5000
w Amherst (3-3), 40.6667
w Cambridge (3-3), 37.3333
e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge (3-3), 40.6667
e Elmwood-Murdock (2-4), 37.8333
e Osceola-High Plains (3-3), 40.6667
e Thayer Central (3-3), 39.0000
w Neligh-Oakdale (3-3), 38.1667
e East Butler (1-5), 38.3333
w Arapahoe (3-3), 37.3333
w Bayard (2-4), 37.0000
w Ansley-Litchfield (3-3), 38.1667
w Ainsworth (2-4), 37.8333
w Palmer (1-5), 37.5000

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

You think the coaches decide? Trust me, as a former coach we alllll want/wanted something different. NSAA calls the shots, we just made the best of it.

NOT TRUE The 8-man schools voted down the exact same proposal that now has C1 and C2 with 16 teams, NSAA has nothing to do with it, The schools decide and 8-man wanted 32 teams

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

In theory, it's that easy. In reality, it's unfortunately not. I hope for a change though, would be fun to cut it down somehow.

Its not a theory, 8-man schools decided to keep 32 and decided to keep east and west, it was voted down by the 8-man schools, So NSAA just follows rules schools want and thats it.

 

[sportsjunkie2030]

I also have Neb Christian staying East. With these teams in. Is that correct?

w Burwell (6-0), 42.5000
w South Loup (Callaway/Arnold) (6-0), 43.3333
e Nebraska Christian (6-0), 43.3333
e Creighton (6-0), 44.1667
e EMF (Exeter-Milligan/Friend) (6-0), 44.1667
e Guardian Angels Central Catholic (5-1), 43.0000
e Howells-Dodge (4-2), 43.5000
e BDS (6-0), 40.8333
e Lutheran High Northeast (5-1), 43.0000
e Fullerton (4-2), 41.8333
w Hemingford (3-3), 41.5000
e Wisner-Pilger (5-1), 42.1667
e Lourdes Central Catholic (4-3), 40.5714
w Arcadia-Loup City (2-4), 39.5000
w North Central (3-3), 39.8333
w Elm Creek (2-4), 38.6667
e Cross County (4-2), 40.1667
w Dundy County-Stratton (5-1), 41.3333
w Sutherland (4-2), 38.5000
w Amherst (3-3), 40.6667
w Cambridge (3-3), 37.3333
e Laurel-Concord-Coleridge (3-3), 40.6667
e Elmwood-Murdock (2-4), 37.8333
e Osceola-High Plains (3-3), 40.6667
e Thayer Central (3-3), 39.0000
w Neligh-Oakdale (3-3), 38.1667
e East Butler (1-5), 38.3333
w Arapahoe (3-3), 37.3333
w Bayard (2-4), 37.0000
w Ansley-Litchfield (3-3), 38.1667
w Ainsworth (2-4), 37.8333
w Palmer (1-5), 37.5000

Wow. If this east/west split is correct, 10 out of top 13 teams are east teams, and 6 out of 7 bottom teams are west teams. Maybe it is time to explore the option of having the "play-in" round split geographically, then re-seed the 16 team bracket after that. Based off this, the east 3 seed would be 6-0 Exeter-Milligan/Friend, and the west 3 seed would be 3-3 Hemingford. I'm not saying east is hands down better than the west, the west's top team vs. east top team would be a barn burner. Just seems as if the east has much more depth right now.