Football C-2 Updated Bracket Projection after 7 weeks

[HuskinItUp]

The only change I made for record projection is Central City beating St Paul. I don't have Yutan winning their district but they very well could. Let me know if you think something is wrong please.


#1 Arcadia-Loup City (9-0) 44.333
#16 Bergan (6-3) 40.555

#8 Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.111
#9 Wilber Clatonia (8-1) 43.111

#5 Valentine (7-2) 44
#12 Freeman (7-2) 41.777

#4 Ponca (8-1) 44.111
#13 Central City (6-3) 41.666

#3 Centennial (9-0) 44.333
#14 Sutton (8-1) 40.888

#6 Lincoln Lutheran (8-1) 43.666
#11 Gibbon (7-2) 41.777

#7 North Platte SP (7-2) 43.222
#10 Battle Creek (6-3) 42

#2 Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333
#15 Hershey (6-3) 40.666

First Few Out
St Paul (5-4) 40.111
Logan View (6-3) 39.666
Doniphan Trumbull (5-4) 39.111
LHNE (5-4) 39.111
Yutan (5-4) 39.111

 

[northeastNebraska]

The only change I made for record projection is Central City beating St Paul. I don't have Yutan winning their district but they very well could. Let me know if you think something is wrong please.


#1 Arcadia-Loup City (9-0) 44.333
#16 Bergan (6-3) 40.555

#8 North Platte SP (7-2) 43.222
#9 Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.111

#5 Valentine (7-2) 44
#12 Gibbon (7-2) 41.777

#4 Ponca (8-1) 44.111
#13 Freeman (7-2) 41.777

#3 Centennial (9-0) 44.333
#14 Sutton (7-2) 40.888

#6 Lincoln Lutheran (8-1) 43.666
#11 Battle Creek (6-3) 42

#7 Central City (6-3) 43.222
#10 Wilber Clatonia (8-1) 43.111

#2 Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333
#15 Hershey (6-3) 40.666

First Few Out
St Paul (5-4) 40.111
Logan View (6-3) 39.666
Doniphan Trumbull (5-4) 39.111
LHNE (5-4) 39.111
Yutan (5-4) 39.111

Good looking bracket. What if Yutan wins out (that would be a loss to Lincoln Lutheran)? What would it look like at that point?

 

[HuskinItUp]

I have them with 40.6 if they win out which would probably put them as the #15 against Hartington CC...I think they would have the tiebreaker against Hershey and it would bump Bergan out.

 

[hailvictors2]

There are several games in week 8 that will have a big impact on the bracket, obviously. Some of the games involve teams that are not in contention for playoff spots.

Central City @ Arcadia-Loup City- This game could be one of the games of the year in C2
Archbishop Bergan @ BRLD- I think BRLD could pull an upset here. They are competitive in all their games
Crofton @ Battle Creek- Crofton is not who we thought they were, but they are the defending runner-up nonetheless
Doniphan-Trumbull @ Gibbon- Defacto district title game
Palmyra @ Freeman- Palmyra is a lot like BRLD. Wouldn't be surprised to see an upset here.
St Cecilia @ Southern Valley- Power points will be impacted for Freeman, Sutton, Wilber, Central City, DT/Gibbon if St loses
Ponca @ LHNE- Must win for LHNE to have any shot, maybe a trap game for Ponca with HCC looming.

 

[HulaMan2]

Work the bracket with Central City winning

 

[HighPlainsCoach]

I'm not seeing Valentine. Thanks for the work, Husk!

 

[HuskinItUp]

Fixed it. Sorry about that

 

[HulaMan2]

Thanks

 

[Coach PowerT]

Why is Hershey at 40.667 I have them at 41.000

Even with Central City winning out, they won't get the top seed at 7-2. I have them winning out and they are at a #5 seed.

 

[hailvictors2]

Hershey is pretty much locked in at 41 (unless they get upset by Bayard or Bridgeport, which I can't imagine happening. Other games that could lower their points would be Gibbon losing one of their final 2 games (very possible considering who they have left to play), and/or Centura losing to both Shelby and Twin River.

Number one seed will be Centennial or Ponca, depending on the Hartington CC-Ponca outcome. Central City has zero chance of getting a 1 seed, even if they win out.

 

[Coach PowerT]

Here's my mock after projecting out games.

1. Centennial (9-0) 45.000
16. Hershey (6-3) 41.000

9. St Pats (7-2) 43.222
8. Arcadia-Loup City (8-1) 43.444

5. Central City (7-2) 43.556
12. Gibbon (7-2) 41.778

13. Sutton (7-2) 41.222
4. Valentine (7-2) 44.000

3. Ponca (8-1) 44.111
14. Battle Creek (5-4) 41.111

11. Freeman (7-2) 41.778
6. Wilber-Clatonia (8-1) 43.444

7. Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.444
10. Lincoln Lutheran (7-2) 41.778

15. Yutan (6-3) (Tiebreak over Hershey) 41.000
2. Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333



I also had Central City winning out, Crofton beating Battle Creek, and Gibbon over Doniphan, and Yutan over Lincoln Luth.

 

[Southernblood]

Here's my mock after projecting out games.

1. Centennial (9-0) 45.000
16. Hershey (6-3) 41.000

9. St Pats (7-2) 43.222
8. ALC/Wilber/Oakland Craig (all 8-1) 43.444

5. Central City (7-2) 43.556
12. Freeman/Lincoln Luth/Gibbon (all 7-2) 41.778

13. Sutton (7-2) 41.222
4. Valentine (7-2) 44.000

3. Ponca (8-1) 44.111
14. Battle Creek (5-4) 41.111

11. Freeman/Lincoln Luth/Gibbon (7-2) 41.778
6. ALC/Wilber/Oakland Craig (all 8-1) 43.444

7. ALC/Wilber/Oakland Craig (all 8-1) 43.444
10. Freeman/Lincoln Luth/Gibbon (all 7-2) 41.778

15. Yutan (6-3) (Tiebreak over Hershey) 41.000
2. Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333


Sorry I didn't workout the 3 way ties. I don't have time to do it.

I also had Central City winning out, Crofton beating Battle Creek, and Gibbon over Doniphan, and Yutan over Lincoln Luth.

5 WC
6 OC
7 ALC

10 Lincoln Lutheran
11 Freeman
12 Gibbon

 

[Coach PowerT]

thank you!

6-7-8, and 10-11-12

 

[hailvictors2]

Central City 7-2
DATE OPPONENT CLASS WINS LOSSES DIV W/L POINTS
8/25/2017 @ Centennial C2 9 0 1 L 36
9/1/2017 @ Logan View C2 6 3 2 W 47
9/8/2017 Battle Creek C2 6 3 2 L 33
9/15/2017 Hastings St. Cecilia C2 3 6 3 W 44
9/22/2017 @ Centura C2 3 6 3 W 44
9/29/2017 Twin River C2 1 8 4 W 41
10/6/2017 @ Sutton C2 7 2 1 W 50
10/13/2017 Arcadia-Loup City C2 8 1 1 W 50
10/20/2017 @ St. Paul C2 5 4 2 W 47
TotalPoints: 392
Average Points: 43.55555556

Centennial 9-0
DATE OPPONENT CLASS WINS LOSSES DIV W/L POINTS
8/25/2017 Central City C2 7 2 1 W 50
9/1/2017 @ Yutan C2 5 4 2 W 47
9/8/2017 Palmyra C2 4 5 3 W 44
9/15/2017 @ Malcolm C2 2 7 4 W 41
9/22/2017 Fillmore Central C2 1 8 4 W 41
9/29/2017 @ St. Paul C2 5 4 2 W 47
10/6/2017 @ Shelby-Rising City C2 4 5 3 W 47
10/13/2017 Cross County C2 1 8 4 W 41
10/20/2017 @ Sutton C2 7 2 1 W 50
TotalPoints: 408
Average Points: 45.33333333

Hartington Cedar Catholic 9-0
DATE OPPONENT CLASS WINS LOSSES DIV W/L POINTS
8/25/2017 @ BRLD C2 3 6 3 W 44
9/1/2017 Shelby-Rising City C2 4 5 3 W 44
9/8/2017 @ Twin River C2 1 8 4 W 41
9/15/2017 Wisner-Pilger C2 1 8 4 W 41
9/22/2017 @ Battle Creek C2 6 3 2 W 47
9/29/2017 Lutheran High Northeast C2 4 5 3 W 44
10/6/2017 @ Crofton C2 5 4 2 W 47
10/13/2017 Stanton C2 2 7 4 W 41
10/20/2017 Ponca C2 8 1 1 W 50
TotalPoints: 399
Average Points: 44.33333333

Ponca 8-1
DATE OPPONENT CLASS WINS LOSSES DIV W/L POINTS
8/25/2017 @ Archbishop Bergan C2 6 3 2 W 47
9/1/2017 Tekamah-Herman C2 1 8 4 W 41
9/8/2017 BRLD C2 3 6 3 W 44
9/15/2017 @ Oakland-Craig C2 8 1 1 W 50
9/22/2017 Crofton C2 5 4 2 W 47
9/29/2017 Battle Creek C2 6 3 2 W 47
10/6/2017 @ Stanton C2 2 7 4 W 41
10/13/2017 Lutheran High Northeast C2 4 5 3 W 44
10/20/2017 @ Hartington Cedar Catholic C2 9 0 1 L 36
TotalPoints: 397
Average Points: 44.11111111

Valentine 7-2
DATE OPPONENT CLASS WINS LOSSES DIV W/L POINTS
8/25/2017 @ Gordon-Rushville C1 5 4 2 W 49
9/1/2017 Arcadia-Loup City C2 8 1 1 L 36
9/8/2017 @ St. Paul C2 5 4 2 W 47
9/15/2017 Winner SD C1 8 1 1 L 38
9/22/2017 @ North Platte St. Patrick's C2 7 2 1 W 50
9/29/2017 Hershey C2 6 3 2 W 47
10/6/2017 @ Bridgeport C2 3 6 3 W 44
10/13/2017 Bayard C2 3 6 3 W 44
10/20/2017 @ Kimball C2 0 9 4 W 41
TotalPoints: 396
Average Points: 44

 

[hailvictors2]

You forgot that they lost to Battle Creek...that is worth 33, not 47

 

[HuskinItUp]

You forgot that they lost to Battle Creek...that is worth 33, not 47

Ya I noticed that after I looked back through. Thanks

 

[HulaMan2]

OOPS

 

[HuskinItUp]

Here's my mock after projecting out games.

1. Centennial (9-0) 45.000
16. Hershey (6-3) 41.000

9. St Pats (7-2) 43.222
8. Arcadia-Loup City (8-1) 43.444

5. Central City (7-2) 43.556
12. Gibbon (7-2) 41.778

13. Sutton (7-2) 41.222
4. Valentine (7-2) 44.000

3. Ponca (8-1) 44.111
14. Battle Creek (5-4) 41.111

11. Freeman (7-2) 41.778
6. Wilber-Clatonia (8-1) 43.444

7. Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.444
10. Lincoln Lutheran (7-2) 41.778

15. Yutan (6-3) (Tiebreak over Hershey) 41.000
2. Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333



I also had Central City winning out, Crofton beating Battle Creek, and Gibbon over Doniphan, and Yutan over Lincoln Luth.

Arcadia-Loup City has had some difficult injuries the last 2 weeks. So the Central City winning out is not as far fetched as it would have been a couple weeks ago.

 

[Coach PowerT]

Arcadia-Loup City has had some difficult injuries the last 2 weeks. So the Central City winning out is not as far fetched as it would have been a couple weeks ago.

Yep. Not a good situation for them

 

[huskerbacker93]

Here's my mock after projecting out games.

1. Centennial (9-0) 45.000
16. Hershey (6-3) 41.000

9. St Pats (7-2) 43.222
8. Arcadia-Loup City (8-1) 43.444

5. Central City (7-2) 43.556
12. Gibbon (7-2) 41.778

13. Sutton (7-2) 41.222
4. Valentine (7-2) 44.000

3. Ponca (8-1) 44.111
14. Battle Creek (5-4) 41.111

11. Freeman (7-2) 41.778
6. Wilber-Clatonia (8-1) 43.444

7. Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.444
10. Lincoln Lutheran (7-2) 41.778

15. Yutan (6-3) (Tiebreak over Hershey) 41.000
2. Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333



I also had Central City winning out, Crofton beating Battle Creek, and Gibbon over Doniphan, and Yutan over Lincoln Luth.

What does it look like if Battle Creek beats Crofton? Pretty sure that is the likely outcome.

 

[huskerbacker93]

Here's my mock after projecting out games.

1. Centennial (9-0) 45.000
16. Hershey (6-3) 41.000

9. St Pats (7-2) 43.222
8. Arcadia-Loup City (8-1) 43.444

5. Central City (7-2) 43.556
12. Gibbon (7-2) 41.778

13. Sutton (7-2) 41.222
4. Valentine (7-2) 44.000

3. Ponca (8-1) 44.111
14. Battle Creek (5-4) 41.111

11. Freeman (7-2) 41.778
6. Wilber-Clatonia (8-1) 43.444

7. Oakland Craig (8-1) 43.444
10. Lincoln Lutheran (7-2) 41.778

15. Yutan (6-3) (Tiebreak over Hershey) 41.000
2. Hartington CC (9-0) 44.333



I also had Central City winning out, Crofton beating Battle Creek, and Gibbon over Doniphan, and Yutan over Lincoln Luth.

I also think ALC has the tiebreak over Oakland as they beat one division 1 opponent in NPSP. Oakland has zero Division 1 wins.

 

[HuskinItUp]

I also think ALC has the tiebreak over Oakland as they beat one division 1 opponent in NPSP. Oakland has zero Division 1 wins.

Valentine will be a division 1 opponent as well for ALC

 

[hailvictors2]

All of these projections are meaningless because every year there is a shocker in week 9. I think last year it was Stanton over Battle Creek.

 

[HulaMan2]

Lets put the energy into who is playing 11 or 8 and enrollment numbers for the next cycle

 

[triston0003]

What about DT if they beat Gibbon where will they stand?

 

[BigFeller]

Am I just missing a bracket with Ponca beating HCC? I would like to see it because I think it's going to happen. Doesn't matter what the situation is, Ponca always plays HCC very tough! Last year HCC was clearly the better team and I believe won by a touchdown at HOME. I think Ponca comes out and plays their best game of the year in front of a home crowd and beats HCC.

 

[HuskinItUp]

Am I just missing a bracket with Ponca beating HCC? I would like to see it because I think it's going to happen. Doesn't matter what the situation is, Ponca always plays HCC very tough! Last year HCC was clearly the better team and I believe won by a touchdown at HOME. I think Ponca comes out and plays their best game of the year in front of a home crowd and beats HCC.

Ponca would be the #1 Seed
HCC points would be 42.777 which would make them a #9 vs Wilber in the first bracket. You can just plug that number into the other brackets that were made and get a good idea

 

[teachmehowtosnuggie]

Lets put the energy into who is playing 11 or 8 and enrollment numbers for the next cycle

^^^ This guy gets it.