Class C1 Playoff Projections (10/11 at 1:51pm)

[Coach PowerT]

The following are based off the results from games current up to this post. Along with the PROJECTED outcome of the remaining games. The projection is opinion only, not based on any metric otherwise.

Will update after the ACTUAL results come in that are different from the projection.

1. Aurora (9-0) 47.2222
16. Ogallala (6-3) 39.5556

8. Wahoo (6-3) 41.5556
9. Broken Bow (6-3) 41.5556

5. Boone Central (7-2) 42.8889
12. Omaha Roncalli (7-2) 41.5556

13. Platteview (6-3) 41.0000
4. McCook (9-0) 44.6667
--------------------------
3. Ashland-Greenwood (8-1) 45.4444
14. Scotus Catholic (6-3) 40.0000

11. Lincoln Christian (7-2) 41.5556
6. Adams Central (7-2) 42.2222

7. Columbus Lakeview (7-2) 41.8889
10. Auburn (7-2) 41.5556

15. Minden (6-3) 40.0000
2. Pierce (9-0) 45.6667

FIRST 5 OUT
-----------------
Central City (5-4) 39.4444
Chadron (5-4) 39.3333
Boys Town (4-5) 38.2222
DC West (5-4) 38.1111
Gothenburg (4-5) 37.8889
Sidney (4-5) 37.8889

 

[Ponchn7138]

Working on this ?

 

[Alum-Ni]

Going off of today's point/district standings, and applying the tie-breakers, this would be the playoff field as of today:

#1 Aurora (7-0)
#16 Central City (4-3)

#8 Omaha Roncalli (6-1)
#9 Columbus Lakeview (5-2)

#4 Boone Central (6-1)
#13 Columbus Scotus (5-2)

#5 Ashland-Greenwood (6-1)
#12 Platteview (5-2)

#3 McCook (7-0)
#14 Wahoo (4-3)

#6 Adams Central (6-1)
#11 Lincoln Christian (5-2)

#7 Broken Bow (5-2)
#10 Auburn (5-2)

#2 Pierce (7-0)
#15 Chadron (4-3)

 

[Coach PowerT]

Working on Updating all classes today and tomorrow.

 

[Coach PowerT]

Updated

 

[northeastNebraska]

Roncalli as a 12 seed would be nuts, I’d hate to be #5 seed in that scenario. They are a top 5 team in C1 IMO. I’d argue they are number 3 behind Aurora and Pierce.

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

Roncalli as a 12 seed would be nuts, I’d hate to be #5 seed in that scenario. They are a top 5 team in C1 IMO. I’d argue they are number 3 behind Aurora and Pierce.

oops

 

[northeastNebraska]

oops

I’ll own it, I didn’t think they’d lose to AG. Seemed like a great game to be at.

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

I’ll own it, I didn’t think they’d lose to AG. Seemed like a great game to be at.

I just think this class is two teams and should be a great state title game, I still give the edge to Aurora but Aurora and Priece and just way ahead of the field

 

[hailvictors2]

Aurora is so far ahead of everyone else in the class, including Pierce. Its Aurora in tier 1 by themselves. Pierce and McCook are in tier 2. Ashland-Greenwood, Roncalli, Adams Central, Boone Central are tier 3. Then you get into teams like Auburn, Wahoo, Lakeview, Platteview, Broken Bow, Scotus, Lincoln Christian, etc... that are playoff caliber teams that can upset some better teams, but are long shots to make the semis.

 

[highschoolfootballnut]

Aurora is so far ahead of everyone else in the class, including Pierce. Its Aurora in tier 1 by themselves. Pierce and McCook are in tier 2. Ashland-Greenwood, Roncalli, Adams Central, Boone Central are tier 3. Then you get into teams like Auburn, Wahoo, Lakeview, Platteview, Broken Bow, Scotus, Lincoln Christian, etc... that are playoff caliber teams that can upset some better teams, but are long shots to make the semis.

Cant argue with that

 

[northeastNebraska]

Aurora is so far ahead of everyone else in the class, including Pierce. Its Aurora in tier 1 by themselves. Pierce and McCook are in tier 2. Ashland-Greenwood, Roncalli, Adams Central, Boone Central are tier 3. Then you get into teams like Auburn, Wahoo, Lakeview, Platteview, Broken Bow, Scotus, Lincoln Christian, etc... that are playoff caliber teams that can upset some better teams, but are long shots to make the semis.

Yep this for sure.

 

[jonh142881]

Looks like Pierce 1, McCook 2, Ashland 3, Aurora 4 That isn't representative of Aurora, and them facing Pierce in the semis doesn't make sense, but you have to win to get to Lincoln, so the best team will find a way.

 

[Coach PowerT]

Looks like Pierce 1, McCook 2, Ashland 3, Aurora 4 That isn't representative of Aurora, and them facing Pierce in the semis doesn't make sense, but you have to win to get to Lincoln, so the best team will find a way.

No.

 

[northeastNebraska]

Looks like Pierce 1, McCook 2, Ashland 3, Aurora 4 That isn't representative of Aurora, and them facing Pierce in the semis doesn't make sense, but you have to win to get to Lincoln, so the best team will find a way.

Aurora has the one seed locked up. Pierce will be 2. AG 3 and McCook 4.

Ashland-Greenwood vs Platteview is a good game, if AG would lose McCook could move to 3.

 

[hailvictors2]

There are several toss-up games that will impact the bracket, or at least games that could potentially be won by either team without a miracle. O'Neill-Wayne is an example. Neither team is getting in, but whoever wins moves up a level and gives their opponents 3 extra points. Gering-Hastings is another example. Class B game between 2 teams that aren't getting in...but Chadron and Ogallala sure have a rooting interest.

Aurora is 1 seed no doubt. Pierce is 2 seed. Ashland is 3 with a win over Platteview. McCook is 4. Huge drop in avg power points from 4 to 5 seed....about 3 full power points. Boone should be 5. Adams Central 6, Lakeview 7, Broken Bow 8.

Obviously some games that can upset the applecart. Gothenburg-Bow. Gothenburg is an interesting team and Bow just got rocked last week. I think Bow wins, but in that district no result shocks me....enter Holdrege over Cozad last week. I think Minden beats Cozad this week, but again, no result there would shock me.

Games that will impact the bracket quite a bit
Ashland-Greenwood @ Platteview
Broken Bow @ Gothenburg
Lakeview @ Scotus....cross town rivalry, never know
Minden @ Cozad
Holdrege @ Ogallala
Syracuse @ Lincoln Christian
Wayne @ O'Neil
Gering @ Hastings

 

[jehresm]

Games that will impact the bracket quite a bit
Ashland-Greenwood @ Platteview
Broken Bow @ Gothenburg
Lakeview @ Scotus....cross town rivalry, never know
Minden @ Cozad
Holdrege @ Ogallala
Syracuse @ Lincoln Christian
Wayne @ O'Neill
Gering @ Hastings

 

[jonh142881]

My apologies, I had an error on my points. I have Aurora 1 at 46.889, Pierce 2 at 45.6667, McCook at 3 at 45.6667 losing on tiebreakers D1 wins I have Ashland 4 at 45.4444

The big games I see are Platteview vs AG, Fort Calhoun Boys Town, and Lincoln Christian Syracuse. Also you have a few C2 and B games, but most games this friday appear to be solid advantages to one team. Not sure how the top 4 change without an upset.

Only district that is up for grabs is Scotus vs Lakeview. All others are decided by tiebreakers or are outright locked up. If Scotus loses to Lakeview, they will lose out on tiebreakers to Chadron and miss by one spot even at 6-3. I'm 100% certain someone will get upset as I have never seen a wk9 go off without a team winning a wild outcome on the last night of the season. So the bracket I have right now is certain to be changed.

 

[hailvictors2]

My apologies, I had an error on my points. I have Aurora 1 at 46.889, Pierce 2 at 45.6667, McCook at 3 at 45.6667 losing on tiebreakers D1 wins I have Ashland 4 at 45.4444

The big games I see are Platteview vs AG, Fort Calhoun Boys Town, and Lincoln Christian Syracuse. Also you have a few C2 and B games, but most games this friday appear to be solid advantages to one team. Not sure how the top 4 change without an upset.

Only district that is up for grabs is Scotus vs Lakeview. All others are decided by tiebreakers or are outright locked up. If Scotus loses to Lakeview, they will lose out on tiebreakers to Chadron and miss by one spot even at 6-3. I'm 100% certain someone will get upset as I have never seen a wk9 go off without a team winning a wild outcome on the last night of the season. So the bracket I have right now is certain to be changed.

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I think you have an error with Holdrege-Ogallala. The points showing in your predictions can only happen with both of those teams being credited with a win in that final game. One of them has to lose.

 

[NebSportsFan72]

This is what I get based on current points and projections for this week's games. This projection makes the following assumptions on potentially "close" games: O'Neill over Wayne, Ogallala over Holdrege, A/G over Platteview, Lakeview over Scotus, McCook over Chadron, Gering over Hastings, Chase County over Valentine, Minden over Cozad, Aurora over Central City, Lincoln Christian over Syracuse, Boone Central over St. Paul, and York over Northwest.

Auburn wins the 9/10 tiebreaker over Lincoln Christian on the H2H matchup. Chadron wins the 15/16 tiebreaker over Scotus on more Div 1 and 2 wins (2 for Chadron vs. 1 for Scotus).


1. Aurora 46.889
16. Scotus Central Catholic 40.000

8. Broken Bow 42.000
9. Auburn 41.889

5. Boone Central 42.889
12. Omaha Roncalli Catholic 41.556

4. McCook 45.333
13. Platteview 41.000

3. Ashland-Greenwood 45.444
14. Minden 40.333

6. Adams Central 42.556
11. Wahoo 41.667

7. Columbus Lakeview 42.222
10. Lincoln Christian 41.889

2. Pierce 45.667
15. Chadron 40.000


First few out:
Central City 39.778
Sidney 39.778
Ogallala 39.000
Syracuse 38.111
Douglas County West 38.111
O’Neill 37.778